IBD: Donald Trump to win the election

IBD: Donald Trump to win the election
The Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump is about to win the US presidential election. At least according to the latest opinion poll from Investor's Business Daily (IBD).

The IBD/TIPP poll — a collaboration between Investor's Business Daily (IBD) and TechnoMetrica Market Intelligence (TIPP) — has been the most accurate poll in recent presidential elections.

According to the IBD poll, published today, Trump leads with 43 percent against Hillary Clinton's 41 percent. It should be noted that the presidential election is determined by so-called electoral votes and that the candidates therefore must win the election in key states, not primarily voters.

According to RealClearPolitics, several polls taken last week show a huge lead for Hillary, not Trump. Among other things, she leads in the polls by FOX News, Bloomberg, Reuters / Ipsos, CBS News and NBC News. In a couple of polls Clinton leads with more than ten percentage points.

IBD notes, however, that their measurements have been the best of all to predict margins in the last three presidential elections. In 2008, the magazine predicted that Barack Obama would win over John McCain with 7.2 percentage points, which was exactly the margin of Obama's win.

IBD, which now publishes a fresh poll each day, also reveals several other interesting details. Among other things, that white American women are significantly more likely to vote for Trump than Clinton.

The Republican candidate has the strongest support among white low- and middle-income earners in rural areas. More than two-thirds of the American underclass say they plan to vote for Trump.

His Democratic rival has a lot more support especially among blacks and Hispanics, but also people in wealthy urbanites say they intend to vote for her.

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