- The EU is about to collapse, predicts the British "out general," Nigel Farage, with confidence. Whether he is right or not, the union will never be the same if the British leave.
- For the EU, the British referendum is dangerous, says Stefan Lehne of the think tank Carnegie Europe.
When the British, next Thursday, will decide the future of Britain in the EU, the European Commission reportedly has a secret Brexit emergency plan ready.
EU enthusiasts fear that a divorce with Britain will be the beginning of the end for the current union. EU opponents hope so intensely.
- We are going to trigger a domino effect. EU will collapse and be dissolved into many parts, says Farage to the Italian newspaper Corriere della Sera.
And the desire to leave the union is spreading.
If Britain leaves, the EU's global influence is weakened both economically and politically. According to the think tank Bruegel, the Union's share of the world population will fall from 7 percent to 6.1.
But first and foremost EU leaders fear internal consequences. A measurement by the Pew institute shows a significant declining popularity curve of the Union, also in the core countries of Germany and France.
A Brexit could therefore easily lead to demands for more referendums.
Both a French and an Italian majority say, according to the Financial Times, that they would consider a separate EU referendum. The number of Danes and Swedes who want to leave the union is also growing.
EU President Donald Tusk, however, says he is confident that the EU will survive a Brexit, but others are not so sure.
- The spill-over effect will be unfortunately felt, deeply felt, says the Swedish Foreign Minister Margot Wallström, to the BBC, adding that "It would be bad either way."
No country has left the EU before, so the process in case of a British "out" is unclear.
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